UK inflation now officially zero

By : Administrator
Published 24th March 2015 |
Read latest comment - 30th April 2015

Bloomberg are reporting that the UK's inflation rate has dropped to zero, the lowest since official records began in 1988.

Apparently the Bank of England Governor reckons inflation will go below zero in the months to come. This is obviously all being driven by low oil prices, so no doubt we will all be moaning next year when inflation starts rising!

For us the low inflation seems to be driving down dollar/sterling exchange rate, which is currently £1 = $1.49. This means things like adsense revenue is worth more as well as revenue coming in from the States. 

So zero inflation seems to be good new for us. How about anyone else? Does the low inflation impact your business, if so is it a good thing or a bad thing?


Steve Richardson
Gaffer of My Local Services
My Local Services | Me on LinkedIn
Comments

doesn't really effect me as I am not a high volume seller yet Although have just arranged a nice little earner with a customer of 200 keyrings


Thanks,
Andy-C | Pewter World

So zero inflation seems to be good new for us.”

 

I never thought that such nonsense will be posted on this forum.

Zero inflation is a disaster for the industry!

 


Thanks,
rebecca_karsten

So zero inflation seems to be good new for us.”

 

I never thought that such nonsense will be posted on this forum.

Zero inflation is a disaster for the industry!

 

 
Deflation is a more serious concern IMHO, but the current (temporary situation) of zero inflation is being driven by oil prices, meaning lower energy prices, lower transportation costs, lower supermarket overheads etc. We are only just teetering above recession as the economy grows very slowly. A general election isn't good timing economy wise with associated uncertainty.
 
Interest rates will have to rise and no doubt in the near future. Industry will always be impacted either way, depending on importing or exporting, goods or raw materials. But the current situation is actually helping a lot of people and small businesses who are seeing more disposable income.
 
As for the OP, it was relating more to the target audience, ie small business and the person in the street rather than the chairman of ICI.
 
But I'm no economist, so please give us a more concise and detailed response.
 

Steve Richardson
Gaffer of My Local Services
My Local Services | Me on LinkedIn

Over the last month the cost of Brent oil has gone up by around $10 a barrel to currently be $65 per barrel, April 2nd the price stood at $55 in January it stood at it's lowest of around $46 per barrel. So it is gradually creeping back up, I'm sure many people still believe that it is still at its low price in January and think they are getting ripped off at the petrol forecourt. The former BP CEO Tony Haywood believes that the oil price is going to soar. The collapse in the oil price was down to OPEC trying stop shale oil exploration in the US (they need to operate at $80 per barrel) Many of these US oil companies raise funds on the AIM on the London Stock Exchange, the collapse of the oil price has seen the collapse of the share price and consequently many of these companies either being suspended or collapsing altogether with investors losing thousands. But that is the risk you take.

And talking of oil, there has been a lot of news about the recent potential oil find at Gatwick covering an area of 55 sq miles. The Horse Hill License which this is has had an independent report carried out by a company called Nutech which states in it's report that with the data that it has there could be as much as 158 million barrels of oil per square mile. If after the flow tests are carried out and if proved successful, this will allow the UK to stick 2 fingers up to OPEC, cut all our ties to the middle east, it will be larger than North Sea Gas, in fact it will put the UK right back to being a world leader again. Apart from the Green party any other political party in Government will be exploiting this find to the maximum. If and it is a calculated if, because it's ok knowing you have oil lying beneath your feet, but extracting it is a bit different this country will change dramatically overnight. And with a bit of luck I'll be retiring sooner than I thought... This will be mega for the UK if it comes of....


Thanks,
Barney

I read - a long, long time ago! - that countries needed an inflation rate around the 2% pa mark. If it was lower than 2% there was a risk of unmanageable deflation and of debts becoming unmanageable too. Haven't a clue whether the 2% inflation figure is still regarded as the minimum safe level of inflation ...

Linda
CareersPartnershipUK

I think both high and low inflation figures must effect everyone, regardless of whether their business owners or not as it effects interest rates. It would seem low inflation is the better of the two according to the Bank of England but with low inflation comes low interest rates.

For those with large savings deposited like pensioners, low inflation is bad as their money is not generating hardly any income, so they end up spending their savings to survive. I currently get 0.1 percent with one particular account with the Halifax, but as there is only £7.50 in the account I'm not overly fussed nor losing any sleep about it.

If as is stated we're now at zero rate inflation, then according to the Bank of England's formula the interest base rate should fall again, I can't see that happening though But low interest rates have certainly benefited borrowers (me included)

As for the current state of inflation, I think it will be short lived. Over the last quarter we have had a relatively mild winter, so the demand for fuel will have been less than normal, as I said previously the cost of crude oil is actually rising slowly...


Thanks,
Barney

Oil prices are going back up right now. I just hope it does not reach $100 per barrel.


Thanks,
tsubibo

I read - a long, long time ago! - that countries needed an inflation rate around the 2% pa mark.
 

Good old wikipedia says:

"Most central banks are tasked with keeping their inter-bank lending rates at low levels, normally to a target annual rate of about 2% to 3%, and within a targeted annual inflation range of about 2% to 6%. Central bankers target a low inflation rate because they believe deflation endangers the economy."


Thanks,
rebecca_karsten

 

You can't accuse me of posting nonsense then quote Wikipedia 

Nice to have someone feisty though, welcome back 


Steve Richardson
Gaffer of My Local Services
My Local Services | Me on LinkedIn

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