EU Poll - media says 50/50, yet we show majority leave?

Originally Posted by Barney

“I think everyone who wants to remain should be forced to wear a pink beret... . ”

Caught up with some of the debates over the weekend. Pink beret Eddie Izzard was completely painful to watch on question time! If that's the calibre of the remain campaign, then it really is all over

I actually do think our poll is going to be closer to the mark than expected, unless everyone who is chuntering about leaving either can't be bothered to vote, or it's a front and  secretly they'll tick remain!

According to the "EU Referendum Poll of Polls" the vote is still split 50/50??  Really?????

source: What UK Thinks: EU Poll of Polls

I've got to be honest, as much as I'd like to believe it, I don't believe a word of it. Who are they asking?? Average people or skewed data? How can our results be so different?

Daily Mail poll suggests 60/40 leave, but I think I will now be genuinely surprised (although happy!) if the remain campaign wins.

Thanks for the plug on the Mail, I shall be shouting it from the roof tops for the the remainder of the campaign as I reckon we were right from day 1!

I am decided on voting to remain now. I was really unsure but looking at the disability and maternity rights laws that are actually EU based, we are stuffed if we leave this up to the government to decide. They won't do either group any favours I am pretty sure!! I think that is the main problem, in that leaving gives our government more power and I don't think that's a good idea! There's too much responsibility if we leave, they will mess it up. 

Overriding factor for me is democracy, if we leave we keep democracy and vote for whichever political party floats our boat at that particular time. If we stay we lose democracy, have little or no input into EU decisions apart from voting for an MEP who as soon as you've voted for you've forgotten their name... The country was lied to in the 1975 referendum and they've been lied to again with scaremongering by both sides this time around....

Here's a list of all the current and previous presidents of the EU let me know which ones you voted for....  

Have never heard of any of them tbh . But I did hear the Sun is recommending out .. I just can't wait for the 24th when it is all over as I am starting to get really annoyed with all the lying and back stabbing going on 

I thought Michael Gove handled himself very well and was very plausible on the special edition question time yesterday.

Felt myself nodding and agreeing with him! Oh gawd I'm sliding back towards the fence...

"the EU does more business with the UK than the UK does with them, so why would they put in tariffs which would hurt their own interests"

I'm completely with less bureaucracy, and no interest in a superstate which I think we are already protected from, but it's trade and impact to business which are my main motivators for staying. 

Read a great article on Marketing Week by Mark Ritson about his take on the debate:

"If British voters opt to stay in the European Union next Thursday we lose the last vestiges of sovereignty, immigration will run amok and rule of law will permanently cease to be a matter for British courts.

If we vote for Brexit our economy will most certainly crash, we will become a political and economic pariah state and, if European Council President Donald Tusk is to be believed, we will usher in the end of Western political civilisation as we know it.

Clearly, it’s rhetorical nonsense on both sides. The debates have become childish slanging matches in which both sides throw bullshit in ever increasing volumes at the other. I have no idea which way I will vote and even if I did, I certainly would not be advising you what to do. This is Marketing Week after all, not The Spectator.."

Marketing Week - The Leave campaign is winning the all-important emotional argument on Brexit

He then goes on to say from a marketing point of view, the leave campaign is pursuing the emotional argument based around sovereignty and immigration, versus staying as we are. So his argument leave voters are more likely to vote as their reasons are more emotive, than getting off the sofa and voting to stay as we are.

Interesting analysis, and probably spot on.

Just had a quick look at what the bookies are offering..... they are all roughly offering odds of 1/2 that we remain and odds of 13/8 we leave.......Bookies generally don't get it wrong often, but occasionally they do and this may be one of those occasions.... Funnily enough had to arrange breakdown cover for the van this week... one of the questions the RAC asked was whether I wanted European cover.... I told the poor girl on the phone I wanted out and had no intention of visiting... 

I think Mark Ritson sums it up exactly.... Doesn't bother me if the economy crashes either, its actually done that several times since we've been in the EU and if it does crash so what? We're a strong nation and if our economy is as good as those wanting us to remain say it is, then it will only be a short term blip... life will carry on, pretty much as normal...... Though I feel like I'm having a deja vu experience of when we had the millennium and we were all going to be doomed one minute past midnight because computers were going to crash... What happened? Well after all the scaremongering and millions wasted.... absolutely nothing happened.... 

That was my first foray into IT contracting after being freshly demobbed and previously on £12k a year. Felt like I had won the lottery after volunteering to monitor the systems for a big company.

I think about 4 x 486 computers rebooted into the year 1900, but still worked fine. I never made so much easy money in all my life and was very quickly hooked on civvy street 

I was working as a contract administrator for RBKC at the time, they along with other local authorities spent millions getting so called specialists in and making sure they had a back up system the funniest thing was they spent 18 months testing and retesting, they had us liaising with Transco and National Grid plus Thames water, but it was no good discussing anything with them as they were all getting in so called specialists in to test their computers....  Whoever started that rumour earned a fortune.....